🔁Mario Nawfal:
🇩🇪GERMANY’S ECONOMY JUMPS—BUT DON’T GET TOO EXCITED
Germany, Europe’s largest economy, just reported a surprise growth of 0.4% in the first quarter of 2025—twice what experts had guessed.
That may sound impressive, until you realize it’s like a student who usually flunks getting a C-minus and everyone applauds.
The bounce came from a last-minute export surge in March, mostly industrial goods, as businesses rushed to ship before U.S. tariffs hit.
ING Bank’s Carsten Brzeski called the growth “a positive one-off,” meaning: don’t count on it lasting.
Germany hasn’t grown this fast since late 2022.
But since then? Recession.
The economy shrank in 2023 and 2024, and the last quarter even dipped -0.2%.
The government’s new forecast? 0% growth this year, maybe 1% next year—assuming their shiny new infrastructure investment plan from Chancellor Friedrich Merz actually kicks in.
In short: Germany just exhaled after a long economic slump. But with trade threats from the U.S. and years of stagnation behind it, no one’s throwing a party just yet.
Source: AP
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/... https://x.com/MarioNawfal/...
🇩🇪GERMANY’S ECONOMY JUMPS—BUT DON’T GET TOO EXCITED
Germany, Europe’s largest economy, just reported a surprise growth of 0.4% in the first quarter of 2025—twice what experts had guessed.
That may sound impressive, until you realize it’s like a student who usually flunks getting a C-minus and everyone applauds.
The bounce came from a last-minute export surge in March, mostly industrial goods, as businesses rushed to ship before U.S. tariffs hit.
ING Bank’s Carsten Brzeski called the growth “a positive one-off,” meaning: don’t count on it lasting.
Germany hasn’t grown this fast since late 2022.
But since then? Recession.
The economy shrank in 2023 and 2024, and the last quarter even dipped -0.2%.
The government’s new forecast? 0% growth this year, maybe 1% next year—assuming their shiny new infrastructure investment plan from Chancellor Friedrich Merz actually kicks in.
In short: Germany just exhaled after a long economic slump. But with trade threats from the U.S. and years of stagnation behind it, no one’s throwing a party just yet.
Source: AP
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/... https://x.com/MarioNawfal/...
9 hours ago
